Calibration and Uncertainty Analysis for Environmental Models

Bethesda, MD, August 28 - 31, 2017

Courses in model calibration, model uncertainty analysis, and the application of the program PEST are presented by the author of PEST, Dr. John Doherty, throughout the world. Multi-day courses have a strong practical aspect, where participants are guided through exercises designed to illustrate important facets of model calibration, experimental design, and predictive analysis. At these courses, participants are also encouraged to bring their own models to investigate the use of PEST. One-day workshops are occasionally presented that serve to introduce attendees to the theory and application of inverse modeling.

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This four day course covers introductory and advanced PEST usage. However the course is far more than a PEST course, and will benefit those who do not use PEST or do not even model. It covers the theory of calibration and uncertainty analysis as it applies to environmental models in general and groundwater models in particular. It applies this theory to explore important topics such as the benefits and drawbacks of simple versus complex models, and the means through which model usefulness can be strengthened in the decision-making context. At the same time, course participants gain experience in the use of PEST, and in the use of advanced parameterization devices such as pilot points.

Other topics include:

  • Traditional calibration based on parameter parsimony – benefits and drawbacks;
  • Manual and mathematical regularisation;
  • Highly-parameterized inversion;
  • Accommodation of model defects in calibration and uncertainty analysis;
  • Linear and nonlinear sensitivity and data worth analysis;
  • Calibration and uncertainty analysis for surface water and land use models;
  • PEST_HP and PEST.cloud.

Participants will receive the latest version of PEST, the PEST book, copies of all slideshows used in the course, and a suite of PEST tutorials to do in their spare time.

Instruction will be provided by:

John Doherty, developer of PEST and internationally recognized expert in inverse modeling techniques and uncertainty analysis.

 

Course Fee Structure

Register a party of 3 or more from the same organization for an additional 10% discount. Contact: Chris Muffels at cmuffels@sspa.com, for assistance with this. .

 
Four Day Course

 Special Instructions?

 

 

Please note: If you are registering for someone other than yourself, please use the "Special Instructions" feature above. Please list the name, email and phone number of the party who will be attending the course.

Course Location

The course will be held in Bethesda, Maryland. Instruction will commence Monday, August 28th at 9:00 am and will be completed by Thursday, August 31st at 5:00 pm.

Where to Stay - Hotel Rates and locations

Further Information

For any further technical information on either or both courses, please contact: Chris Muffels at cmuffels@sspa.com.

For any further assistance with logistical questions, please contact: Gretchen MacNeill at gretchena@sspa.com.

Our cancellation policy can be found on our website.

US Locations

International Locations