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The
introduction of regularization capabilities to PEST brings with it
tremendous benefits when calibrating most types of environmental models.
In many cases it makes the difference between success and failure of the
parameter estimation process. It is no exaggeration to say that, for
some types of models, PEST's regularization capabilities allow nonlinear
parameter estimation to be used in the calibration process for the first
time.
In spatial models such as groundwater and geophysical models,
regularization allows you to introduce constraints on parameter spatial
variability to the parameterization process. These constraints may be
based on geostatistical evidence, of just on intuition. Thus you can ask
PEST to calibrate a ground water model in such a way that only enough
heterogeneity is introduced to the model domain to ensure that a good
fit between model outcomes and field measurements is obtained. Meanwhile
you can use a superfluity of parameters (especially if you are using
pilot-points) so that PEST can place the heterogeneity exactly where it
is needed to ensure goodness. In this way, you don't have to guess where
such heterogeneity is required through the use of a cumbersome zonation
pattern based on the artificial concept of "piecewise constancy". If
regularization constraints are properly applied, the fact that there is
a redundancy of parameters does not hinder PEST. Numerical stability is
still maintained. This functionality is available from no other
parameter estimation software.
PEST's regularization capabilities are a real breakthrough when it comes
to using nonlinear parameter estimation techniques with surface water
models such as HSPF. One no longer must hold most parameters at "fixed
values" (these values having often been determined on the basis of
little more than guesswork) and use PEST to estimate just a few others.
When using PEST in regularization mode you can estimate a large number
of parameters, in each case supplying an item of "prior information" in
the form of a preferred value for that parameter. In minimizing
model-to-measurement discrepancies, PEST will vary parameters from these
preferred values only to the extent required to achieve the desired
level of fit between field measurements and model outcomes.
No matter in what context it is used, regularization works the same way.
The user must inform PEST of the extent to which he/she will tolerate a
model-to-measurement misfit as PEST attempts to calibrate the model and
enforce the regularization constraints at the same time. PEST will not
violate the misfit condition (unless it is quite impossible to achieve
the desired level of fit). The result is the attainment of a sensible
set of parameter values, and the prevention of problems arising from
numerical instability of the inversion process.
When used in the calibration of a groundwater model, together with pilot
points as a parameterization device, the results can be astounding. |